Losing streak check
Plain arithmetic, not a forecast: at a fixed size, a run of full-stop losses costs the number of losses times the loss per trade. At 1% risk per trade, 5 losses in a row cost 5% of the starting account and 10 cost 10%.
Quick answers
How many NQ contracts should I trade with a $25,000 account?
The formula is contracts = (account × risk %) ÷ (stop in points × $20), rounded down: at 1% risk ($250) and a 10-point stop ($200 a contract) it gives 1 contract, and at a 20-point stop ($400) it gives 0 NQ or 6 MNQ.
What is the 1% rule in futures trading?
It caps the loss on any one trade at 1% of the account, so dollar risk = account × 0.01 ($250 on $25,000), and the stop distance and contract count are set so a full-stop loss stays within that figure.
How do I calculate position size for MNQ?
MNQ contracts = dollar risk ÷ (stop in points × $2), rounded down: $250 of risk with a 20-point stop is $250 ÷ $40 = 6.25, so 6 contracts.
How much do I lose if NQ moves 20 points against me on 2 contracts?
20 points × $20 × 2 contracts = $800, before commissions and slippage.
What is risk per contract?
Risk per contract = stop distance in points × point value, so a 15-point stop is $300 on NQ, $30 on MNQ, $750 on ES and $75 on MES.
How do I convert a stop in ticks to points?
Points = ticks × tick size, so a 40-tick stop is 10 points on NQ (tick 0.25, $200 a contract) but 4 points on RTY (tick 0.1, $200 a contract).
How much do 10 losing trades in a row cost at 1% risk?
At a fixed size risking 1% each, 10 full-stop losses cost 10 × 1% = 10% of the starting account ($2,500 on $25,000); that is arithmetic, not a forecast of how often it happens.
Is it better to trade MNQ than NQ with a small account?
MNQ is one tenth of NQ ($2 a point instead of $20), so size moves in steps of $2 a point rather than $20 and a stop too wide for one NQ can still fit the risk budget; commission is charged per contract, so 10 MNQ pay about 10 times the fees of one NQ. The trade-offs are worked through in NQ vs MNQ: which contract to trade.
Point and tick values: CME Group published contract specifications. Price movement only; commissions, fees and slippage are not included, and a stop can fill worse than its price in a fast market or a gap.
Choosing the stop comes first: how many points an NQ stop loss needs.
For systematic entries and exits on NQ, see STS NQ futures signals.